-By Jerry Rocha, Nielsen
The launch of the Droid by Motorola—which runs Google’s Android
2.0 operating system—is the latest smartphone to be tagged “game
changing iPhone killer.” We prefer to view it as simply a
quality choice in an growing line of smartphones rather than
something that will stifle the competition. With only 10,000
applications available in the Android market and more than 100,000
available for the iPhone, the Droid—or any Android phone—won’t be
killing the iPhone anytime soon. What the Droid will do is
advance the use and adoption of web content to a connected device.
Android’s integration with popular and widespread Google
applications such as Gmail, Google Calendar and Google Voice is a
big help as is its ability to run multiple applications (up to six
on the Droid). Most users do this on their computers so being able
to listen to music while browsing the web and sending email makes a
multi-tasking smartphone an appealing option.
The Competition to The Competition
The mobile marketplace is not just a faceoff between the iPhone
and Droid; over the next few months, there are at least six new
devices on deck that will have large screens like the Droid,
keyboards (the Droid has both a virtual and physical keyboard), and
an ever-increasing number of applications.
Nielsen’s data from Q3 2009 suggests that if you buy an Android
phone, you’ll likely use more of the data features more often than
if using any other smartphone.
Also, for the first time in Q3, Nielsen saw more users accessing
the Internet on smartphone than that of feature phone users. If
this trend continues, we’ll see more than 80 percent of the devices
accessing the Internet being these advanced phones.
The Mobile Universe is
Expanding
In Q3 2009, historically the slowest phone sales quarter, more
than 25 percent of all phones sold were smartphones. Expect Q4 to
have more than 40 percent of the new phones sold be smart devices.
This is important to watch as smartphones are on track to be the
majority of phones in the U.S. by 2011. Projecting Nielsen data out
through 2010, we see smartphones crossing 50 percent of the market
by the middle of 2011, roughly equal to 150 million users. This
shift could happen much faster with the right conditions such as
continued competitive price points on devices, lower “all you can
eat” data packages and the increasing consumers need to be
connected anytime, anywhere.
By mid-2011, the U.S. should be just over 300 million mobile
subscribers. If we assume that we will have over 150 millions uses
of smartphones (based on our projections) and that 80 percent of
these users will access the Internet and 60 percent will access
video (given the current data trend these assumptions may actually
be low), this means that over 120 million mobile users will be on
the Internet and 90 million will be watching video. What we have
typically called the “third screen” is quickly becoming an
extension of the first and second screens (TV and desktop viewing)
especially in some key demographics. Note how Hispanics and
African-Americans over-index on Mobile Video and Internet
Usage.
Overall, we see mobile media growth accelerating over the next
year with more users paying for video and premium content.
Remember, the mobile phone is the one media device that is
always within reach. The trend in the U.S. is more interaction,
more consumption, and more connected devices. While not a
competition killer, the Droid is the next logical step in a market
with a wide array of rich media devices. As that trend continues,
the battle for a better smartphones with better access to content
will wind up seeing the consumer as the clear winner.
Mediaweek
is a unit of the Nielsen Co.
The Droid: The Consumer-Friendliest Smartphone?
Nov 11, 2009
-By Jerry Rocha, Nielsen
The launch of the Droid by Motorola—which runs Google’s Android 2.0 operating system—is the latest smartphone to be tagged “game changing iPhone killer.” We prefer to view it as simply a quality choice in an growing line of smartphones rather than something that will stifle the competition. With only 10,000 applications available in the Android market and more than 100,000 available for the iPhone, the Droid—or any Android phone—won’t be killing the iPhone anytime soon. What the Droid will do is advance the use and adoption of web content to a connected device. Android’s integration with popular and widespread Google applications such as Gmail, Google Calendar and Google Voice is a big help as is its ability to run multiple applications (up to six on the Droid). Most users do this on their computers so being able to listen to music while browsing the web and sending email makes a multi-tasking smartphone an appealing option.
The Competition to The Competition
The mobile marketplace is not just a faceoff between the iPhone and Droid; over the next few months, there are at least six new devices on deck that will have large screens like the Droid, keyboards (the Droid has both a virtual and physical keyboard), and an ever-increasing number of applications.
Nielsen’s data from Q3 2009 suggests that if you buy an Android phone, you’ll likely use more of the data features more often than if using any other smartphone.
Also, for the first time in Q3, Nielsen saw more users accessing the Internet on smartphone than that of feature phone users. If this trend continues, we’ll see more than 80 percent of the devices accessing the Internet being these advanced phones.
The Mobile Universe is Expanding
In Q3 2009, historically the slowest phone sales quarter, more than 25 percent of all phones sold were smartphones. Expect Q4 to have more than 40 percent of the new phones sold be smart devices. This is important to watch as smartphones are on track to be the majority of phones in the U.S. by 2011. Projecting Nielsen data out through 2010, we see smartphones crossing 50 percent of the market by the middle of 2011, roughly equal to 150 million users. This shift could happen much faster with the right conditions such as continued competitive price points on devices, lower “all you can eat” data packages and the increasing consumers need to be connected anytime, anywhere.
By mid-2011, the U.S. should be just over 300 million mobile subscribers. If we assume that we will have over 150 millions uses of smartphones (based on our projections) and that 80 percent of these users will access the Internet and 60 percent will access video (given the current data trend these assumptions may actually be low), this means that over 120 million mobile users will be on the Internet and 90 million will be watching video. What we have typically called the “third screen” is quickly becoming an extension of the first and second screens (TV and desktop viewing) especially in some key demographics. Note how Hispanics and African-Americans over-index on Mobile Video and Internet Usage.
Overall, we see mobile media growth accelerating over the next year with more users paying for video and premium content. Remember, the mobile phone is the one media device that is always within reach. The trend in the U.S. is more interaction, more consumption, and more connected devices. While not a competition killer, the Droid is the next logical step in a market with a wide array of rich media devices. As that trend continues, the battle for a better smartphones with better access to content will wind up seeing the consumer as the clear winner.
Mediaweek
is a unit of the Nielsen Co.